The Indiana Pacers take on the Philadelphia 76ers in a matinee tilt on Saturday. The 76ers are currently fourth in the East, but the No. 3 seed is still in reach, so they should have plenty of incentive in this one. Philadelphia defeated Indiana earlier this week, and the Sixers are 22-17 at home this season. The 76ers are 49-31 overall, with the Pacers entering at 25-55 after eight consecutive losses. Myles Turner (foot) and Chris Duarte (toe) are out for the Pacers, with Malcolm Brogdon (back), Goga Bitadze (foot) and Jalen Smith (groin) listed as questionable. Georges Niang (knee) and Charles Bassey (shoulder) are out for the 76ers.
Tipoff is at 1 p.m. ET in Philadelphia. Caesars Sportsbook lists Philadelphia as the 14-point home favorite, while the over-under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 235.5 in the latest Pacers vs. 76ers odds. Before locking in any 76ers vs. Pacers picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters Week 25 of the 2021-22 NBA season on a stunning 84-54 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning over $2,400. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Sixers vs. Pacers, and just locked in its picks and NBA predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NBA odds and betting lines for Pacers vs. Sixers:
- 76ers vs. Pacers spread: 76ers -14
- 76ers vs. Pacers over-under: 235.5 points
- 76ers vs. Pacers money line: 76ers -1000, Pacers +650
- IND: The Pacers are 17-21-1 against the spread in road games
- PHI: The 76ers are 16-23 against the spread in home games
Featured Game | Philadelphia 76ers vs. Indiana Pacers
Why the Pacers can cover
Indiana has offensive strengths, headlined by its rebounding. The Pacers are No. 3 in the NBA in offensive rebound rate, securing 31 percent of missed shots. Indiana is also in the top six of the NBA in second-chance points, averaging 14.6 per contest. The Pacers are above-average in fast break points (13.0 per game), 2-point shooting (51.4 percent) and assists (25.3 per game), with Indiana set to capitalize on Philadelphia’s shortcomings.
The 76ers are No. 22 in the NBA in turnover creation on defense, and Philadelphia is No. 28 in the league in fast break points allowed. Philadelphia is last in the NBA in offensive rebound rate at 24.4 percent, and the 76ers land in the bottom third of the league in second-chance points, points in the paint, 2-point accuracy and assists per game on offense. Indiana is a top-five team in blocked shots, rejecting 5.6 per contest, and the Pacers should be able to use that to their advantage.
Why the 76ers can cover
Philadelphia has an incredibly juicy offensive matchup against Indiana. The Pacers are No. 28 in the NBA in defensive rating, giving up 115.1 points per 100 possessions for the full season. Indiana has been even worse lately, yielding 121.0 points per 100 possessions since the All-Star break. The Pacers are last in the NBA in 3-point defense (37.3 percent) and in the bottom five of the league in field goal percentage allowed and points allowed in the paint.
Philadelphia leads the NBA in live-ball turnovers per game (6.6) and free throw accuracy (82.0 percent), with top-six marks in free throw creation (23.8 attempts per game), 3-point accuracy (36.6 percent) and turnovers (12.5 per game). The 76ers generate 1.88 assists for every turnover, and Philadelphia has the benefit of home-court advantage and significantly more incentive to win for playoff seeding purposes.
How to make Pacers vs. 76ers picks
SportsLine’s model is leaning under on the total, projecting 228 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits almost 70 percent of the time. You can only see the model’s pick at SportsLine.
So who wins 76ers vs. Pacers? And which side of the spread hits almost 70 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.