The Arizona Diamondbacks visit the Cincinnati Reds for a series finale on Thursday afternoon. Great American Ball Park hosts the proceedings on getaway day, with the Reds aiming to secure a four-game series win. Cincinnati won the first two games, with Arizona returning the favor on Wednesday. The Reds are 20-36 in 2022, and the Diamondbacks enter at 27-31.
First pitch is at 12:35 p.m. ET in Cincinnati. Caesars Sportsbook lists the Reds as -140 favorites on the money line, while the Over-Under, or total number of runs Vegas thinks will be scored, is 9.5 in the latest Diamondbacks vs. Reds odds. Before you make any Diamondbacks vs. Reds picks, you need to see the MLB predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s advanced computer simulation model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times and it is off to a strong start to the 2022 season. It’s on a 52-37 roll on top-rated MLB money-line picks through nine weeks, returning over $800 for $100 players. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Diamondbacks vs. Reds, and just locked in its picks and MLB predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Now, here are several MLB odds and betting lines for Diamondbacks vs. Reds:
- Diamondbacks vs. Reds money line: Reds -140, Diamondbacks +120
- Diamondbacks vs. Reds over-under: 9.5 runs
- Diamondbacks vs. Reds run line: Reds -1.5
- Diamondbacks vs. Reds tickets: See tickets at StubHub
- ARI: The Diamondbacks are 10-17 in day games
- CIN: The Reds are 10-13 in day games
Featured Game | Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Why you should back the Diamondbacks
Arizona ranks strongly above the National League average in both home runs and walks this season, with Cincinnati’s ballpark providing a potential advantage for a team with power. The Diamondbacks are also facing a Reds team with some pitching issues. Cincinnati starter Tyler Mahle has a 5.60 ERA at home and a 5.43 ERA overall this season, and the Reds are near the bottom of the National League in both ERA and wins above replacement from their bullpen.
For Arizona, Zach Davies tossed 7.2 innings of shutout baseball in his last outing, and he has a 3.81 ERA on the road in 2022. Cincinnati also ranks in the bottom tier of the NL in hits, walks, batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage this season.
Why you should back the Reds
After a dreadful start, Cincinnati is above the .500 mark in the last 30 games, playing improved baseball overall. The Reds are facing a Diamondbacks team with notable weaknesses, ranging from a bullpen with a bottom-five ERA in the National League to a struggling offense. Arizona is in the bottom tier of the National League in runs scored, stolen bases, strikeouts, batting average, and on-base percentage, with Tyler Mahle prepared to take advantage.
Mahle has a career 3.00 ERA against Arizona, with the Diamondbacks scuffling to a .294 slugging percentage against him. Mahle also has a 2.13 ERA in the last two starts, and he is a prolific strikeout pitcher with 10.5 strikeouts per nine innings over the last three seasons. In a league-leading 33 starts in 2021, Mahle produced a 3.75 ERA, and he should be comfortable at home.
How to make Diamondbacks vs. Reds picks
SportsLine’s model is leaning over on the run total, and it says one side of the money line has all the value. You can only get the model’s MLB picks at SportsLine.
So who wins Diamondbacks vs. Reds? And which side has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of Diamondbacks vs. Reds you need to jump on Thursday, all from the model that has crushed its MLB picks, and find out.